Indian equity
benchmarks ended Wednesday's trading session in deep red amid selling across
the sectors. Key indices started the session on a positive note amid foreign
fund inflows. Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) net bought shares worth Rs
73.12 crore on March 12, provisional data from the NSE showed. Some support
also came with data showing that remaining within the Reserve Bank of India's
(RBI) comfort zone of 6 per cent for the sixth month in a row, India's retail
inflation eased to a four-month low of 5.09 per cent in February 2024. However,
markets soon erased early gains and slipped into the negative zone, as traders
turned cautious with data showing that growth in factory output, based on the
Index of Industrial Production (IIP), slowed to 3.8 per cent in January 2024,
mainly due to poor performance of manufacturing, mining and power sectors. It
was 5.8 in January 2023. The pace of decline intensified as the day progressed,
pushing the Sensex and Nifty below psychological 72,800 and 22,000 levels
respectively. Sentiments remained dampened with a report of economic think tank
GTRI stating that with escalating everyday attacks and no end in sight, the Red
Sea crisis will adversely impact trade volumes in substantial ways in 2024. The
Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI) said that rising shipping, and
insurance costs and delayed arrival of shipments will continue to disrupt
global value chains, squeeze margins, and make exports of many low-margin
products unviable from current locations. Traders also avoided taking risk
ahead of Wholesale Price Index (WPI) data, which is slated to be released on
tomorrow. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 906.07 points or 1.23% to 72,761.89 and
the CNX Nifty was down by 338.00 points or 1.51% to 21,997.70.
The US markets ended mostly in
red on Wednesday as a lack of major U.S. economic kept some traders on the
sidelines ahead of the release of several key reports in the coming days. On
Thursday, the Labor Department is scheduled to release its report on producer
price inflation in the month of February, which may shed additional light on
the outlook for interest rates. Producer prices are expected to rise by 0.3
percent in February, matching the increase seen in January, while the annual
rate of producer price growth is expected to accelerate to 1.1 percent from 0
.9 percent. Reports on weekly jobless claims and retail sales are also due to
be released on Thursday, with retail sales expected to rebound in February
after slumping in January. On the sectoral front, most of the major sectors
showed only modest moves on the day, contributing to the lackluster performance
by the broader markets. Energy stocks saw considerable strength, however, with
a sharp increase by the price of crude oil contributing to the strength in the
sector. With crude for April delivery spiking $2.16 to $79.72 a barrel, the
NYSE Arca Oil Index surged by 2.3 percent and the Philadelphia Oil Service
Index shot up by 1.9 percent. An increase by the price of gold also contributed
to considerable strength among gold stocks, as reflected by the 2.2 percent
jump by the NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index. On the other hand, semiconductor stocks
showed a significant move to the downside, dragging the Philadelphia
Semiconductor Index down by 2.5 percent.
Crude oil futures ended sharply
higher on Wednesday after data showed an unexpected drop in U.S. crude
inventories in the week ended March 8th. Data released by the Energy
Information Administration (EIA) showed crude inventories in the U.S. dropped
by 1.5 million barrels last week. Gasoline stockpiles dropped by about 5.7
million barrels last week, as against expectations for a decline of 1.9 million
barrels, while distillate stocks increased by 888,000 barrels, as against
expectations of a 150,000-barrel decline. Besides, supply disruptions in Russia
due to continued attacks by Ukrainian drones on Russian oil refineries
contributed as well the rise in oil prices. Benchmark crude oil futures for
April delivery rose $2.16 or about 2.8% to settle at $79.72 a barrel on the New
York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for May delivery surged by $2.11 or about
2.57% to $84.03 per barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended lower against
the dollar on Wednesday tracking a broad-based selloff in domestic markets.
Some concern came after growth in factory output, based on the Index of
Industrial Production (IIP), slowed to 3.8 per cent in January 2024, mainly due
to poor performance of manufacturing, mining and power sectors. It was 5.8 in
January 2023. Investors overlooked reports that India's retail inflation eased
to a four-month low of 5.09 per cent in February 2024. On the global front,
U.S. dollar index held steady on Wednesday as traders shrugged off
hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation and still expected a Federal Reserve
interest rate cut in June. The U.S. consumer price index (CPI) increased
solidly in February, beating forecasts and suggesting some stickiness in inflation.
Finally, the rupee ended at 82.84 (Provisional), weaker by 4 paise from its
previous close of 82.80 on Tuesday.
The FIIs as per Wednesday's data
were net sellers in equity segment, while they were net buyers in debt segment.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 15245.93 crore against gross
selling of Rs 15361.53 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was
of Rs 4114.61 crore with gross sales of Rs 1637.54 crore. Besides, in the
hybrid segment, the gross buying was of Rs 43.45 crore against gross selling of
Rs 99.41 crore.
The US markets ended mostly in
red on Wednesday as investors took profits in chipmaker stocks, while they
braced for producer price data and further clues on the inflation trend ahead
of next week's Federal Reserve meeting. Asian markets are trading mostly in
green on Thursday amid reports that that strong wage hikes in Japan could see
the central bank move from its ultra-easy monetary policy next week. Indian
markets ended in deep red on Wednesday amid a broad-based sell-off. Today,
domestic indices are likely to extend their previous session's weakness with
negative start amid lack of supportive global cues. Investors will be eyeing
the WPI inflation data for February to be out later in the day for more
directional cues. Apart from this, there will be some volatility in the markets
amid the weekly F&O expiry. Foreign fund outflows likely to dent
sentiments. Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) net sold shares worth Rs
4,595.06 crore on March 13, provisional data from the NSE showed. There will be
some cautiousness as a SBI Research report stated that India's retail inflation
gauged by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to remain slightly above 5
per cent till May before declining towards 3 per cent in July. The retail
inflation print is expected to stay below 5 per cent beginning November till
the end of the financial year 2024-25. However, traders may take note of report
that NITI Aayog has proposed a series of measures to boost exports from micro,
small and medium enterprises, including boosting e-commerce exports, creating a
comprehensive trade portal, promoting ease of merchandise exports, improving
access to export finance and creation of one stop information channel for
exporters. Moreover, the market regulator is expected to put forth proposals on
ease of doing business for foreign portfolio investors (FPIs), alternative
investment funds (AIFs) and portfolio managers, and on implementing optional
T+0 settlement before its Board at its next meeting. The Securities and
Exchange Board of India (Sebi) is to meet with its Board on March 15. There
will be some buzz in the Auto stocks after the central government announced a
new scheme, with a total outlay of Rs 500 crore, to promote the adoption of
electric mobility in India. Sugar industry stocks will be in focus after
industry body Indian Sugar Mills Association (ISMA) revised the sugar production
estimate for 2023-24 upwards to 34 million tonnes; up by 2.9% from its earlier
estimate of 33.05 million tonnes issued in January this year. There will be
some reaction in edible oil industry stocks as Solvent Extractors' Association
of India (SEA) data showed that India's vegetable oils import fell 13 per cent
year-on-year in February to nearly 9.75 lakh tonne. It said the import of
vegetable oils (comprising edible oils and non-edible oils) during February
stood at 9,74,85 tonne as compared to 11,14,481 tonne in the year-ago period.
Meanwhile, Gopal Snacks will make its market debut against the issue price of
Rs 401. Index major, Reliance Industries will also be in focus as it will buy
Paramount Global's entire 13 per cent stake in Viacom 18 for about $517 million
(Rs 4,286 crore).
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
21,997.70
|
21,786.65
|
22,327.75
|
BSE
Sensex
|
72,761.89
|
72,167.49
|
73,704.53
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
ITC
|
1016.12
|
422.00
|
416.10
|
432.95
|
Tata
Steel
|
709.38
|
143.35
|
139.60
|
150.00
|
Power
Grid
|
393.90
|
265.00
|
256.56
|
278.66
|
HDFC
Bank
|
315.34
|
1459.70
|
1449.34
|
1470.84
|
State
Bank of India
|
279.50
|
747.40
|
739.04
|
759.74
|
- Tata Steel has inaugurated a
fully automated construction service centre in Ludhiana to offer customised
reinforcement products and solutions to the construction industry.
- Reliance Industries' wholly owned
subsidiary -- Reliance Ethane Holding Pte has invested $102.90 million in its
three wholly owned subsidiaries - Ethane Coral LLC, Ethane Diamond LLC and
Ethane Jade LLC.
- Kotak Mahindra Bank has sold
34,70,000 Equity Shares of Kfin Technologies (representing 2.03% of its paid-up
share capital) in the open market.
- Bharti Airtel has deployed
additional sites in Bharuch district to densify its network.